CORDIS Project
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This research focuses on improving rainfall forecasts in the Mediterranean region, which is vulnerable to climate change. By combining causal discovery algorithms with operational forecast models, the project aims to enhance predictions on subseasonal to seasonal timescales.
The Mediterranean region (MED) is a hotspot of anthropogenic climate change and impacts are probably already felt today; recent heatwaves and persistent droughts have led to crop failures, wild fires and water shortages, causing large economic losses.
Climate models robustly project further warming and drying of the region, putting it at risk of desertification.
The particular vulnerability of this water-limited region to climatic changes has created an urgent need for reliable forecasts of rain…
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