CORDIS Project
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This project investigates how forecasts of potential violent conflicts influence political actions and decision-making. It aims to enhance understanding of the communication and perception of early warnings and compares these insights with other areas like environmental and economic crises to improve public policy.
What impact do forecasts have on political action?
How are they communicated, perceived and used in order to prevent harmful events in the future?
There are few policy areas as dependent on good forecasts as efforts aimed at preventing intra-state violent conflicts.
Both practitioners and scholars agree that early, appropriate and sustained action on the part of various international players can help to avoid or at least alleviate many of the harmful consequences.
Preventing the outbreak of such…
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