CORDIS Project
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The project focuses on developing forecasting methods for economic and financial data that evolve over time. It addresses the challenges of non-stationarity and structural changes in data, aiming to improve prediction accuracy for economic indicators.
The main goal of this project is to develop theoretical and applied research on forecasting economic and financial data, whose structure changes over time.
The classical theory of forecasting is well developed under the assumption that the data generating process is stationary over time.
Put loosely, stationarity means that the properties of the underlying model do not change through time.
Economies are manifestly non-stationary for many reasons, and in particular, are subjected to structural ch…
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